10:30 am
September 24, 2019
10:42 am
January 12, 2019
2:05 pm
December 7, 2023
3:04 pm
October 27, 2013
3:57 pm
December 7, 2023
4:20 pm
September 28, 2023
That is just a forecast, and is subject to change with economic indicators and market conditions.
The other thing that might affect these decisions is the upcoming federal election. Even though the BoC is supposed to act independently of parliament, I think there will be heavy political pressure to lower rates as much as possible (without stoking inflation) to goose economic numbers as we head into campaigns next fall. As the indicator changes lag the interest rate by a few months, I am anticipating aggressive rate cuts this winter.
5:01 pm
September 29, 2017
Actually, when mapping rate changes in election years, there is no strong correlation. Sometimes they have gone up, sometimes they have gone down in election years. And there is no strong correlation to which party is in power at the time of an election.
The markets have already shown that there is a very strong down trend, and that is very likely to continue well into 2025. The BoC is only echoing what it sees.
5:44 pm
November 19, 2022
Canadians already are one of the most indebted nations in the world. BOC “let’s lower rates so Canadians will borrow even more to create “growth”.
https://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/HH_LS@GDD/CAN/GBR/USA/DEU/ITA/FRA/JPN/VNM
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