Rate Increase | Page 3 | Oaken Financial | Discussion forum

Please consider registering
guest

sp_LogInOut Log In sp_Registration Register

Register | Lost password?
Advanced Search

— Forum Scope —




— Match —





— Forum Options —





Minimum search word length is 3 characters - maximum search word length is 84 characters

No permission to create posts
sp_Feed Topic RSS sp_TopicIcon
Rate Increase
May 19, 2016
10:04 am
xxxx
Member
Banned
Forum Posts: 338
Member Since:
June 29, 2013
sp_UserOfflineSmall Offline

Very well written post, Alta Red. I agree that perceptions/opinions by forum members will differ considerably based on one's own financial situation, income, assets, and level of risk tolerance.

May 19, 2016
10:39 am
Loonie
Member
Members
Forum Posts: 9384
Member Since:
October 21, 2013
sp_UserOfflineSmall Offline

I too mostly agree with AltaRed's most recent post.

I think he/she would also agree that:
Not all registered plans are ultimately taxed - TFSAs are not.
People with high incomes and/or high net worth can afford to take more risks, but they can also afford not to.
The value to one's bottom line (taxes) of dividends vs capital gains varies according to income. The lower the income, the better off you are with dividends; in some circumstances it is possible to pay next to nothing, although your capital is still at risk. The people with the highest incomes are better off with capital gains, which bear the highest risk as an investment.
Most people who have a lot of money do decide to invest in the stock market, but not all. A number of people, especially those who have inherited money but have no experience in managing it, find themselves very comfortable and uninterested in putting the time and energy into difficult decisions about investing later in life.
There is some kind of risk in everything, but it comes down to what you can live with, in terms of income and also risk.

There is a truism, even among investment advisors, that says, "if you don't have to take a risk, maybe you shouldn't". It doesn't make them any money, of course, but some are honest enough to admit that they are superfluous to the needs and goals of some individuals.

May 19, 2016
11:34 am
AltaRed
BC Interior
Member
Members
Forum Posts: 3112
Member Since:
October 27, 2013
sp_UserOfflineSmall Offline

Indeed, I agree with Loonie's additions. There are entire forums (e.g. FWF and CMF) that discuss virtually every wrinkle possible in these areas of interest.

May 19, 2016
11:34 am
xxxx
Member
Banned
Forum Posts: 338
Member Since:
June 29, 2013
sp_UserOfflineSmall Offline

"Risk" is not a simple concept to understand in investing. Bank accounts and GICs are not always low risk; stock market investing is not always high risk.
Keeping cash or GICs in inflationary times might actually be high risk because one loses considerable buying power - yes you still have your original $1,000 but it buys much less than it did a year ago - one has lost principal in current $ terms.
Stock market investing can actually be lower risk when inflation increases - stocks have generally risen in value over the long term.
Also, level of risk is quite different if buying BCE shares or Bank shares compared to buying technology shares, mining shares etc. - one cannot say all investing in the stock market is high risk.
Buying a house or property has historically been an excellent investment over the long term - values have generally gone up - but we do see in some markets as in Alberta now, property values have declined due to unique circumstances - likely that will reverse in the next few years as the economy resumes growth. My point is that risk is not just a simple - this is high risk, that is low risk - some knowledge of economic theory would be useful to both investors and non investors alike.

May 19, 2016
5:38 pm
Loonie
Member
Members
Forum Posts: 9384
Member Since:
October 21, 2013
sp_UserOfflineSmall Offline

As I said in my last post,
"There is some kind of risk in everything, but it comes down to what you can live with, in terms of income and also risk."

It is indeed a complex subject, and there are many more types of risk than Brian has mentioned or than can be covered in this thread or forum.

However, all risks are not equal or equally likely to have a bad result. That's why they get rated from low to high. It's a crude measure, not always accurate, but probably the best we can do.
There are also measures that can be taken to mitigate risk, such as real return bonds which will deal effectively with inflation without taking on stock market risk. There are various ways of essentially farming out the risk by selling it to someone else. I don't pretend to understand all of these, but they exist.

It is unfortunate, in my opinion, that the investment industry has in effect over-simplified the matter of risk. It has been reduced largely to a simplistic question on a "getting-to-know-you" initial questionnaire. The question that is usually asked is, "what is your risk tolerance?" The preferred answer, from the point of view of the person on the other side of the desk is, the higher the better. Many newbies, wanting to appear more knowledgeable than they are, and not wanting to appear too timid, have declared themselves to be far less risk averse than they actually are.
Riskier investments bring better commissions. But this whole exchange with the client fails to grapple with the bigger issue, namely that there are many different kinds of risk and that we may have a greater tolerance for some than for others - if we even understand them, which most beginners don't and many people never do.
Another factor that is intimately connected with risk tolerance is time horizon. It makes a huge difference if you are looking at 25 years or 5.
And so on.

And so, when all is said and done, this is why many sophisticated investors tell newbies to just buy a good cheap balanced fund and be done with it. What they mean is, average out your risks and hope for the best.

This is an interesting discussion, but I think we have gotten a long way off the track and should probably consider bringing this thread to a close.

May 19, 2016
5:50 pm
AltaRed
BC Interior
Member
Members
Forum Posts: 3112
Member Since:
October 27, 2013
sp_UserOfflineSmall Offline

Definitely got off-topic...sf-wink

May 20, 2016
6:42 am
xxxx
Member
Banned
Forum Posts: 338
Member Since:
June 29, 2013
sp_UserOfflineSmall Offline

perhaps it was "off topic" i.e. not specifically about Rate Increase Oaken heading - so what? - still some of you kept posting and even some real long posts - so it was obviously of some interest - I think "risk" is an interesting topic as related to investing -

May 20, 2016
3:14 pm
dentgal
Member
Members
Forum Posts: 211
Member Since:
October 11, 2015
sp_UserOfflineSmall Offline

I think that i brought up the subject of my advisor not offering me the same rate that i could get at oaken on my own. Just to clarify, apparently i am paying my advisor when i buy or sell mutual funds, but not a fee on GICs. However, they are not offering the same great rate from oaken--so of course they are getting their cut (or fee) one way or the other. This money was in my "cash" account, so i asked him to transfer to my chequing account and i bought the oaken GIC on my own. I did feel a bit guilty, but hey, it's better in my pocket than theirs. And, honestly, it pisses me off that i can find better rates than they can offer--even with the SAME financial institution. My problem will be the cash in my RRSP! I am slowly reducing the amount of exposure that i have in the markets and feel much more comfortable with my paltry 2 or 3% (but with NO RISK) vs. chasing small gains in the market and risking the markets going down. So i haven't totally left the markets, but when i am getting dividends, I am not re-investing them in the markets and am going to fixed assets. Going slightly off topic, my old financial advisor put most of my RRSP into rate reset preferred shares. OY. What a mistake they were. Once burned twice shy. Happy long weekend to all!

May 20, 2016
3:46 pm
kanaka
Member
Members
Forum Posts: 1232
Member Since:
December 23, 2011
sp_UserOfflineSmall Offline

dentgal said

I think that i brought up the subject of my advisor not offering me the same rate that i could get at oaken on my own. Just to clarify, apparently i am paying my advisor when i buy or sell mutual funds, but not a fee on GICs. However, they are not offering the same great rate from oaken--so of course they are getting their cut (or fee) one way or the other. This money was in my "cash" account, so i asked him to transfer to my chequing account and i bought the oaken GIC on my own. I did feel a bit guilty, but hey, it's better in my pocket than theirs. And, honestly, it pisses me off that i can find better rates than they can offer--even with the SAME financial institution. My problem will be the cash in my RRSP! I am slowly reducing the amount of exposure that i have in the markets and feel much more comfortable with my paltry 2 or 3% (but with NO RISK) vs. chasing small gains in the market and risking the markets going down. So i haven't totally left the markets, but when i am getting dividends, I am not re-investing them in the markets and am going to fixed assets. Going slightly off topic, my old financial advisor put most of my RRSP into rate reset preferred shares. OY. What a mistake they were. Once burned twice shy. Happy long weekend to all!

Firstly, do NOT feel guilty. If you enjoy using a full service advisor you have to know you are NOT getting the best bang for your buck. I have an advisor and have been removing funds via my RRIF to TFSA at much higher rates and non taxable. I keep under the wire and remain in the lowest income tax rate and try to make sure I also get full age benefits as well. I have mutual funds and ETFs with my adviser.....and sure the dividends are nice....and they set that up to pay your annual fees with. But I do not pay fees for buying or selling mutual fund although I have to pay $150 to buy or sell ETFs. I have be not trying to do a full exit from our adviser but the one ETF and one mutual fund just has not rebounded to a good number. I have been waiting for 3 years!!!!! Just imagine if I had to start to sell those funds at a loss when they move to a RRIF.

May 21, 2016
8:15 pm
Loonie
Member
Members
Forum Posts: 9384
Member Since:
October 21, 2013
sp_UserOfflineSmall Offline

dentgal said

I am slowly reducing the amount of exposure that i have in the markets and feel much more comfortable with my paltry 2 or 3% (but with NO RISK) vs. chasing small gains in the market and risking the markets going down.

I had felt that this thread needed to come to a close, and I still do, but this comment has bothered me since I saw it yesterday, so I have to respond.

Dentgal, there is absolutely nothing you can do with your money that doesn't entail some kind of risk. Some things are riskier than others, and GICs are relatively low risk, meaning the likelihood of you losing the value of your investment is low.

However, GICs and savings accounts do entail at least the following risks:
1. Inflation risk (ask outlined by Brian).
2. Currency risk. (the Cdn dollar could have less buying power in future, even substantially less)
3. Banking system risk (our banking system may not weather another economic storm as well as we hope it will, for various reasons. When you deposit your money, you don't own it in the same way that you would if you put it under the mattress or in your household safe etc. You are a lender, and it is owed to you, but you have to be able to collect it and you are subject to regulatory requirements, FI policies, etc. This risk varies somewhat between banks and CUs. Some think banks are safer; others think CUs are safer.)

There may be others as well but these are the risks that come to mind.

June 20, 2016
6:13 pm
deepcman
Member
Members
Forum Posts: 27
Member Since:
November 18, 2014
sp_UserOfflineSmall Offline

This subject sort of went sideways but I'm looking for some suggestions on what GIC terms people are signing up for. I've started to ladder at Oaken and have one GIC for 18 months and another for 2 years. Will get another one early in July but now I'm contemplating taking longer terms. BOC has said they don't anticipate raising rates till 2018 so I'm interested to see what term are others signing up for.

June 20, 2016
6:20 pm
Saver-Mom
Member
Members
Forum Posts: 312
Member Since:
December 12, 2015
sp_UserOfflineSmall Offline

Doing the ladder too, all except for 5 years. Have to have some optimism rates will rise by then!

June 20, 2016
8:24 pm
Loonie
Member
Members
Forum Posts: 9384
Member Since:
October 21, 2013
sp_UserOfflineSmall Offline

The offer at Oaken is certainly the best thing going right now.

There is, I think, a reasonable chance of a promo at a bit higher rate sometime in the next year, somewhere, but it's probably not worth waiting around for that possibility as you may lose in the meanwhile - depending on available savings rates at the time. Better to wait for your renewal date and hope something is better by then, or at least as good.

The other thing you can do, depending on how much money you are investing and on how long the offer lasts, is to put the money into smaller parcels and spread out the maturities a bit more, allowing you to potentially take advantage of better rates next time. This may be easier to accomplish if you have a combo of individual and joint accounts, giving you more capital to spread out. For example, I am gradually setting up one-years maturing every month at Hubert, so it serves a similar function to a savings account or LOC as I have access to extra money every month without losing anything.

Also remember that FIs will usually hold a rate for 30 days or so after it expires if you ask them, so that you can move your money.

I wouldn't mind so much if inflation were low, but it's high on my necessities.
there are often promo rates in Dec-Feb for RSPs and TFSAs, and sometimes these spill over into non-registered.

Bear in mind that we didn't anticipate this offer from Oaken.sf-surprised

BoC has been pushing forward the mythical date when rates will rise again literally for years now. It definitely doesn't mean that they will rise in 2018 or at any foreseeable time.

No permission to create posts

Please write your comments in the forum.