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CDIC compare to credit union insurance
October 12, 2022
12:34 pm
oltunde
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I was just checking the coverage for credit union in Ontario,

https://www.fsrao.ca/newsroom/important-updates-credit-unions-and-caisses-populaires-need-be-aware

They have update on the site as of sept 6 2022:
FSRA UPDATE: our liability of your gic is limited to our assets in fsra fund (about 300 m)

The liability of FSRA to insure deposits held at Ontario credit unions is limited to the assets of the Deposit Insurance Reserve Fund.

Is this any good? I think CDIC is backed by government, so no limit. If sh##t heat the fan, there may be several credit union go under at the same time, can it cover them at the same time? Thanks

October 12, 2022
3:12 pm
Loonie
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No, of course it can't. Neither can CDIC cover everything, even with its borrowing power.

I think we have to accept two things:
1. Each government will do whatever it decides to do when/if the time comes, to supplement the insurance agencies.
2. The system is arranged in such a way that the only place you can put your cash is in a bank, trustco or CU. You may think it's 'your' money but that's conditional.
And maybe a third thing: almost none of us really knows how the banking system works behind closed doors, and those few aren't talking.

Thus, people put some of their money in other kinds of investments. Nothing is 100% completely safe., Nothing. The best thing is to make sure you have a sound roof over your head, no debt, and support a very large pension plan. Don't knock CPP. This is one area where biggest is bestest! - or at least has the best odds of success. Help your friends and neighbours when you can; and pray!

October 12, 2022
3:25 pm
AltaRed
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This was just discussed in another thread. Deposit insurance entities, including CDIC, only have a certain amount of assets to cover "total assets under coverage". That is because: 1) there is almost no chance of a Black Swan event that causes multiple institutions to go under at any given short period of time, e.g. one year, requiring the insurer to pay out on multiple institutions, and 2) the regulator would likely be stepping in well before insolvency of an institution such that the institution may be able to cover 60 cents of every dollar on deposit and deposit insurance only needs to pick up the remaining 40 cents of every dollar.

Without checking details, I think the sorry case of PACE credit union is an example where most of the insured deposits were already covered by PACE assets and FSRA didn't have to cough up that much money. The bigger issue with PACE was the uninsured Preference shares held by customers for which there was no deposit insurance coverage.

Nothing is guaranteed in event of a Black Swan event with multiple failures though CDIC did a fine job in the '80s and '90s when a significant number of CDIC insured institutions, mostly trust companies, failed. The single biggest issue at that time I think were failed mortgages. It is conceivable that could happen again, especially in ON and BC where housing went through the roof and has the furthest to fall in the current environment of high interest rates and an upcoming recession.

October 12, 2022
3:33 pm
Bill
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This was just discussed in the "DICO legally dissolved........" thread, check it out.

October 12, 2022
8:34 pm
Norman1
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The other thread is DICO legally dissolved; FSRA assumes operations.

The situation is not new. FSRA is just making the situation explicit. Lots of people erroneously believe provincial credit union deposits are insured by their provincial government.

October 12, 2022
10:24 pm
Loonie
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I'm actually glad FSRA has made this explicit.

I blame many of the CUs for telling members that the insurance is backed up by the province. I've been told this more than once. Even when I asked for proof or argued with them, they insisted. In the case of DUCA, which I remember particularly well, she handed me a shiny pamphlet as if that were definitive but it avoided the question.

A Black Swan event is, by definition, not widely anticipated (if at all) and has devastating consequences. Thus, we can't say how likely it may be.

October 13, 2022
4:29 am
savemoresaveoften
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I can’t see any CUs deposit base being wipe out 100% in a short period, other than a bank run, or some serious fraud in senior management level. Unlike a bank that can have a rogue trader incidents hiding losses ( which happens every few years esp in Europe and Asia), a CU business model is pretty straight forward. Of course it does not mean senior management will not orchestra some funny accounting and siphon finds out that remain undetected until too late.

In the case of Pace, it’s unfortunate for the pref holders, as they eventually pick up the tab cuz some investors fell for the greed and believed they were buying a very high yield principal protected investment. Those that fell for the greed gets 70% back, while pref holders will likely loss 100%….

October 16, 2022
8:59 am
TommyT
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Loonie said
No, of course it can't. Neither can CDIC cover everything, even with its borrowing power.

I think we have to accept two things:
1. Each government will do whatever it decides to do when/if the time comes, to supplement the insurance agencies.
2. The system is arranged in such a way that the only place you can put your cash is in a bank, trustco or CU. You may think it's 'your' money but that's conditional.
And maybe a third thing: almost none of us really knows how the banking system works behind closed doors, and those few aren't talking.

Thus, people put some of their money in other kinds of investments. Nothing is 100% completely safe., Nothing. The best thing is to make sure you have a sound roof over your head, no debt, and support a very large pension plan. Don't knock CPP. This is one area where biggest is bestest! - or at least has the best odds of success. Help your friends and neighbours when you can; and pray!  

Government of Canada bonds are the safest thing.

October 16, 2022
9:03 am
TommyT
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Loonie said
No, of course it can't. Neither can CDIC cover everything, even with its borrowing power.

I think we have to accept two things:
1. Each government will do whatever it decides to do when/if the time comes, to supplement the insurance agencies.
2. The system is arranged in such a way that the only place you can put your cash is in a bank, trustco or CU. You may think it's 'your' money but that's conditional.
And maybe a third thing: almost none of us really knows how the banking system works behind closed doors, and those few aren't talking.

Thus, people put some of their money in other kinds of investments. Nothing is 100% completely safe., Nothing. The best thing is to make sure you have a sound roof over your head, no debt, and support a very large pension plan. Don't knock CPP. This is one area where biggest is bestest! - or at least has the best odds of success. Help your friends and neighbours when you can; and pray!  

Government of Canada bonds are the safest thing.

AltaRed said
This was just discussed in another thread. Deposit insurance entities, including CDIC, only have a certain amount of assets to cover "total assets under coverage". That is because: 1) there is almost no chance of a Black Swan event that causes multiple institutions to go under at any given short period of time, e.g. one year, requiring the insurer to pay out on multiple institutions, and 2) the regulator would likely be stepping in well before insolvency of an institution such that the institution may be able to cover 60 cents of every dollar on deposit and deposit insurance only needs to pick up the remaining 40 cents of every dollar.

Without checking details, I think the sorry case of PACE credit union is an example where most of the insured deposits were already covered by PACE assets and FSRA didn't have to cough up that much money. The bigger issue with PACE was the uninsured Preference shares held by customers for which there was no deposit insurance coverage.

Nothing is guaranteed in event of a Black Swan event with multiple failures though CDIC did a fine job in the '80s and '90s when a significant number of CDIC insured institutions, mostly trust companies, failed. The single biggest issue at that time I think were failed mortgages. It is conceivable that could happen again, especially in ON and BC where housing went through the roof and has the furthest to fall in the current environment of high interest rates and an upcoming recession.  

The problem is real estate could crash in Ontario and British Columbia so avoid the Ontario and British Columbia credit unions.
Stick with the Manitoba credit unions where real estate is not grossly overvalued.

October 16, 2022
12:41 pm
Doug
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AltaRed said
This was just discussed in another thread. Deposit insurance entities, including CDIC, only have a certain amount of assets to cover "total assets under coverage". That is because: 1) there is almost no chance of a Black Swan event that causes multiple institutions to go under at any given short period of time, e.g. one year, requiring the insurer to pay out on multiple institutions, and 2) the regulator would likely be stepping in well before insolvency of an institution such that the institution may be able to cover 60 cents of every dollar on deposit and deposit insurance only needs to pick up the remaining 40 cents of every dollar.

Well said, AltaRed. Agreed. 🙂

Without checking details, I think the sorry case of PACE credit union is an example where most of the insured deposits were already covered by PACE assets and FSRA didn't have to cough up that much money. The bigger issue with PACE was the uninsured Preference shares held by customers for which there was no deposit insurance coverage.

Though not 100% certain, my understanding in this case is that FSRA (nee DICO) deposit insurance funds were not tapped to cover insured or uninsured deposits. All deposits were simply transferred to Alterna Savings and Credit Union, with Alterna paying what was quite likely a fire-sale price for PACE Savings and Credit Union. The portion Alterna paid, in turn, would've been transferred to the insolvency trustee and used to help pay claims (notably, the PACE and subsidiary preference shares). To the extent any FSRA deposit insurance funds were used, it may have been to partially compensate Alterna for taking on assets (loans) that were impaired due to lax/poor lending adjudication criteria. In other words, I am quite confident zero PACE clients lost a dollar of insured or uninsured deposits. (Their PACE member equity shares, however, would be worthless and would be at the bottom of the creditor stack, even below the PACE subsidiary preference shareholders.)

Cheers,
Doug

October 16, 2022
1:38 pm
AltaRed
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I was not suggesting Pace CU members lost anything with their insured deposits. My point was the deposit insurer likely didn't have to come up with much money either.

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