5:20 pm
August 16, 2022
9:45 am
January 12, 2019
.
. . . BoCs latest rate hike = +0.50%
.
Dean
" Live Long, Healthy ... And Prosper! "
10:14 am
August 16, 2022
10:49 am
September 30, 2017
12:43 pm
March 30, 2017
hwyc said
… but the GIC rates at Peoples are inverted. Better bite soon if I can
Think close to or after the next hike, we will see 1y and 2y term flat or 1y just a little bit higher, and the curve completely inverted.
FI has absolutley zero reason to pay up for 5 year money (whether BoC manage to wrestle inflation or not). If banks do pay up for 5y money, it will be due to a nunforeseen scenario that not even the smartest minds are aware of right now.
So GIC will be either
inverted: Cuz BoC continues to pump overnite higher
positive slope: Cuz BoC done hiking due to recession and next move will be rate cut
Either scenario 5y is glued or move lower if recession takes over.
Please write your comments in the forum.