1:26 am
November 8, 2009
an interesting article showing how big banks and computers manipulate the stock market and the rest of us are just lambs to the slaughter. We cant compete and are grease for the wheels.
"Seventy percent of the volume of trades on the stock market are computers that are run by the banks playing ping pong with stocks for 10 seconds at at time,"
7:31 am
March 25, 2009
Interesting, I just saw this video that offers real-time proof of the computer manipulation:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v.....r_embedded
Really opens the eyes when you see it live.
Have a great day
11:15 am
March 25, 2009
msl25 said:
i just saw the video+article from mike and kilarney's post. ohh crap.
and i am really trying hard to save some money to try invest in the stock market in the future. but then sad to know, it's also rigged!!!
Same here (about trying to invest in the markets). With computers trading millions of shares in a nanosecond it's feels like humans are just completely lost and out of the loop. Anyone watch the 1000 point DOW drop a month ago (from 10800 to 9800?), I did, amazing, 1000 points in 30 mins! We still don't know what really caused it... was it a "fat finger" trade or computers selling billions of shares with each other?
Whatever it was, 1000 points in 30 mins... Can you call your broker that fast, and if so, can he act to sell your shares that fast before your wiped out?
Have a great day
2:25 pm
November 8, 2009
if they have videos like this showing the illegal actions then where the heck are the regulators? After all the crap we have been through in the past few years you would think they would be kicking in doors to stop this. I have always believed that the little guy is just along for the ride with larger unseen forces controlling things secretly. A family friend years ago got a tip about bre-ex before it went down the tubes and many of the big boys made out very well as lots lost it all. there has to be a fair playing field or it will all crash down.
12:55 am
mike said:
We still don't know what really caused it... was it a "fat finger" trade or computers selling billions of shares with each other?
Whatever it was, 1000 points in 30 mins... Can you call your broker that fast, and if so, can he act to sell your shares that fast before your wiped out?
You should be able to place a "stop loss order" with a broker so that your shares will automatically be sold if the price drops too far. You do this in advance, so you neither have to call your broker when the low-price event happens, nor even watch the market to make sure you don't miss it. In this case, it seems that having a computer watching and executing the order is (or definitely should be) faster and more reliable than having a human do this for you.
The 1000 point drop may have been triggered by a fat finger (more of a human error than computer) or faulty computer algorithms, but jittery nerves of the humans are also to blame. Like you implied, if things go badly you want to react to that by pulling out quickly. This means that people do not trust the value of their stocks. We don't buy and sell based on what we think the stock value should be, or *will* be later, but only on whether it's going to rise or fall. Of course, rising and falling is the difference between making and losing money, but if we make the value of the stock meaningless to ourselves, then we end up trading not on the stock price, but on the volatility of the market.
It's like we no longer trust the market, but we still want a piece of it. All those invested want it to go up, but we also want to be able to pull out the second it looks like things could go bad. And so we get situations where jittery nerves turn sell-offs into panic selling. I think this is fair, because it reflects the sentiment of the market: We expect imminent crashes, yet we still want the payoff when things are climbing.
Demanding protection from panicked sell-offs is like saying, "I'm not comfortable investing right now (I expect negative results) but I want to invest anyway." The bailouts of the last few years are making this kind of thinking more common... "profits are private, losses are socialized". This too is a form of corruption.
I'm not defending the computers against the humans. I guess in a system like this, those with the means will try to exploit every advantage they can. If unfair exploits exist that's a problem that should be fixed. As an investor you're basically lending your money to others... it should be done through people or computers who are going to work in your best interests.
10:02 am
March 25, 2009
michael said: ...then we end up trading not on the stock price, but on the volatility of the market.
It's like we no longer trust the market, but we still want a piece of it.
Great points Michael.
People (investors) are more and more asking themselves these questions. We want a part of the market but are indeed growing less trusting of it. Investers feel the stock market is becoming the ONLY place to make any return on their savings, but it's becoming quite risky and unstable.
Better to stay out till things are resolved better.
Have a great day
2:35 pm
February 3, 2009
mike said: ...the stock market is becoming the ONLY place to make any return...
You can make 8% with no volatility from MICs. That's an alternative to the stock market. MICs are not risk-free, but they're safer than the stock market.
4:16 pm
March 25, 2009
mike said: ...the stock market is becoming the ONLY place to make any return...You can make 8% with no volatility from MICs. That's an alternative to the stock market. MICs are not risk-free, but they're safer than the stock market.
A good alternative idea...but isn't MICs type investments is one of the reasons that got us into this financial mess in 2008?
Have a great day
4:53 pm
November 8, 2009
the only thing that seems to be consistent is financial advisors trying to repackage different forms of products to keep the market(pyramid-like) sucking up more cash. What are the average stats on mutual fund returns? Something like 75% never make any real gains but the industry that runs this stuff always gets paid well while the investor is brought to the slaughter by them? Also now I may be wrong but isnt the HST in ontario dumped on top of all the fees? Everyone is getting paid including the government.....but the investor is lucky to break even.
8:39 pm
INDEED, that's so TRUE kilarney.
put to the fact that so many people trying to sell stocks, mutual funds
and whatever derivatives only to find out you are just paying management fees
and nothing in return but a lost percentage of your whole investment. you have
money? just buy a lot, raise some cows and make some breastmilk, ah err...opps i mean dairymilk and plant wheat i guess. now that's a freakin investment.
5:35 am
February 3, 2009
mike said: A good alternative idea...but isn't MICs type investments is [sic] one of the reasons that got us into this financial mess in 2008?
The credit crisis had to do with securitization of bad mortgages in the US. There is no such situation in Canada. Subprime mortgages have existed for decades, maybe centuries. They became a problem only after American deregulation made it possible to securitize toxic mortgages.
12:48 am
Q: What happened to Iceland? How can an entire country go broke?
A: During the past ten or fifteen years, there were worse places to be than
Iceland, from an economic perspective. Unemployment was low, Icelanders earned more than the average European income, foreign money financed investmests in energy resources and aluminum smelting, and the country's exports rose steadily in value. By 2005 Iceland was assessed as one of the world's wealthiest countries on a per capita basis.
The events of 2007-2008, however, may become a future textbook lesson in national economic catastrophe, because without the drastic and unprecedented steps taken by its European neighbors, Iceland could have become literally bankrupt -- a country whose banks, government and citizens were all flat broke.
Here is how it happened.
In the 1980s, Iceland began restructuring itself from a tiny isolated country dependent of fishing into a vibrant nation actively involved in technological developments.
The efforts paid off. Iceland evolved into the fourth most productive country in the world, based on GDP per capita. With unemployment below 1 percent and its economy growing 5 per cent annually, Iceland could claim that its government's policies were simultaneously prudent and successful. The county was committed to limiting foreign borrowing, controlling inflation, diversifying the economy and privatizing state-owned businesses.
Iceland established a business-oriented environment, becoming fifth in the world according to the Index of Economic Freedom in 2006 while boasting one of the world's lowest corporate tax rates and banks that operated with minimal government regulation. Which led to the nation's economic downfall.
The three Icelandic banks sent several young future financial stars to New York and London for training, and they returned bursting with enthusiasm to convert their homeland into Wall Street North, or at least a land known more for its financial power than for its fishing fleet.
Inspired by visions of grandeur from the new generation of bankers, the banks aggressively pursued almost any investment opportunity that floated their way. They built an investment treasure chest by borrowing first from the country's well-funded national pension plan, and turning later to the international money market. Impressed by their visions if not by their experience, international sources advanced billions of dollars to the Icelanders, creating substantial debt for the banks customers and shareholders.
Knowing their own citizens could never provide sufficient capital from retail deposits to play the the big boys in New York and London, the banks turned to the Internet to tap wider source of cash. It was both a stroke of genius and a flight of folly. Online banking, the Icelanders advertised, cut their costs so much that they could offer exceptionally high interest rates to people from Detroit to Dubai who sent cash to Reykjavik. (Let's be honest-- why else would you send money to Iceland?)
Money flowed in from everywhere, attracted by the high interest rates offered to depositors. With full pockets, the hell-for-leather Icelandic banking honchos made highly leveraged investments in foreign markets. Kaupthing, the leading Icelandic bank, even purchased the U.K. merchant bank Singer & Friedlander for more than C$1 Billion. Icelanders, who for years had been compared to Canadians when it came to conservative saving and spending habits, grew giddy with their new found wealth. thanks to higher interest paid to depositors by Icelandic banks, the country's currency soared in value, reducing the cost of imports and inspiring a credit driven consumer spending spree. By 2007 Icelanders had amassed debts that were more than twice their disposable income. And the band played on.
The Icelandic Young Turks, believing the good times would last forever, borrowed and invested in a manic display of national pride and private greed. By 2008, when the mackerel hit the fan via global credit crunch, the banks were told to pay up. But they couldn't. The leveraged investments had collapsed, leaving and aggregate debt of all three Icelandic banks estimated at six times the country's gross domestic product. In canadian terms, this would be like Canada's major chartered banks owing $7.2 trillion, most of it to foreign banks and investors.
The banks could no longer meet their obligations, no one wanted to own an Icelandic krona, interest rates on credit balances shot to 19 percent or more, pension funds collapsed, and the entire country shuffled to the European Union and the International Monetary Fund, where it held out its cap and asked for spare change. By the end of 2008, the country remained 4 billion Euros short of amount it required to claim solvency. Foreigners who had sent money to the three Icelandic banks via Internet clamored to retrieve deposits estimated at US$8.2 billion, about half the size of the country's entire economy. They may never see a penny of it.
Iceland represents something of a test-tube experiment in which aggressive bankers weaned on Wall Street ambition with access to international funding opportunities were permitted to foist their own view of reality-- the party's just getting started -- on an entire nation. Whenever a hint of such unbridled exuberance appears in future years, let's hope that someone sits down and reads all the gory details of this unfortunate fiasco.
-Taken from the book "Bubbles, Bankers and Bailouts" by John Lawrence Reynolds.
3:38 pm
May 7, 2010
mike said:
Interesting, I just saw this video that offers real-time proof of the computer manipulation:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v.....r_embedded
Really opens the eyes when you see it live.
"This video is private."
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