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September 2021 Inflation
October 20, 2021
9:02 am
Vatox
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October 20, 2021
9:08 am
Loonie
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Does anyone know if .25 is the minimum increment they can do, or could it be less? That seems to be their standard.

Personally, I doubt .25 will make a lot of difference, either to inflation or to interest rates offered to investors.

October 20, 2021
9:28 am
Vatox
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Loonie said
Does anyone know if .25 is the minimum increment they can do, or could it be less? That seems to be their standard.

Personally, I doubt .25 will make a lot of difference, either to inflation or to interest rates offered to investors.  

The 25bps moves or multiple of such, is just a convention. They can do any amount they desire. I suppose the convention keeps it nice and tidy. Quarters and quarterly reporting is a fundamental spacing, so 25bps fits nicely.

October 20, 2021
9:43 am
canadian.100
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Loonie said

Personally, I doubt .25 will make a lot of difference, either to inflation or to interest rates offered to investors.  

For those of us who own RESET Preferred Shares in a diversified portfolio, an increase of 25bps DOES make a difference - these shares are interest sensitive and now doing very well (after a long period of low interest rates) as we now enter an upward trajectory in interest rates.

October 20, 2021
10:24 am
Loonie
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Preferred shares are a whole other issue and I'm sure there is a forum somewhere where their risks and possibilities can be more thoroughly discussed.

Some GICs also have "resets". I've had 2 that I can recall. On the annual anniversary date, you can opt to switch to the current interest rate if it is to your advantage. I have one of these currently, and it doesn't mature until 2025.

October 20, 2021
10:31 am
canadian.100
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Loonie said
Preferred shares are a whole other issue and I'm sure there is a forum somewhere where their risks and possibilities can be more thoroughly discussed.
  

I am aware of Prefblog - it is not a good blog and there is no "discussion". So if anyone knows of a good forum where preferred shares are discussed, kindly let me know - I am always interested in expanding my knowledge.

October 20, 2021
10:44 am
Loonie
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Perhaps AltaRed or Norman1 can help as they're good at that sort of thing.

October 20, 2021
11:17 am
Norman1
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PrefBlog and the related $185/year PrefLetter are devoted to Canadian preferred shares.

I don't know if preferred shares are that exciting to discuss, aside from news of new ones coming onto the market.

They are a low-end way to speculate on interest rates for those who can't splurge on a few $100,000 board lots of marketable long term bonds. I don't think interest rate speculation is a good idea though.

Investment funds with research teams funded by budgets of $1 million+ a year can't predict interest rates. Not likely anyone who can't order $300,000 of bonds can either.

October 20, 2021
11:53 am
Bill
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There's a bunch of info re Cdn preferreds here, don't know if it's any good:
https://canadianpreferredshares.ca/

October 20, 2021
12:36 pm
canadian.100
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Norman1 said
I don't know if preferred shares are that exciting to discuss, aside from news of new ones coming onto the market.
 

I agree preferred shares may not be exciting to discuss but the dividend rates of 4.5%, 4.75%, 5% (which I have had for 10 years) do satisfy me. Both you and I would be "excited" if HISAs and GICs paid just a bit closer to these rates.

October 20, 2021
2:06 pm
Dean
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.
Back to the subject at hand (2021 Inflation) . . .

A good article & vid on this, from BNN https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/not-transitory-at-all-scotia-economist-sees-8-boc-rate-hikes-1.1669087

    Dean

sf-cool " Live Long, Healthy ... And Prosper! " sf-cool

October 20, 2021
2:45 pm
dougjp
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Dean said
.
Back to the subject at hand (2021 Inflation) . . .

A good article & vid on this, from BNN https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/not-transitory-at-all-scotia-economist-sees-8-boc-rate-hikes-1.1669087

    Dean

  

Excellent, thanks 🙂 Both videos were very informative. I also believe inflation isn't temporary, and the BofC won't react anywhere near fast enough.

"Keep your stick on the ice. Remember, I'm pulling for you. We're all in this together." - Red Green

October 20, 2021
4:25 pm
Vatox
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dougjp said

Excellent, thanks 🙂 Both videos were very informative. I also believe inflation isn't temporary, and the BofC won't react anywhere near fast enough.  

They already have dragged their knuckles. October will be over by the next policy announcement! That means 5 months of high inflation. And, unless they are watching the economy with vigour and their finger on the hike button, another month will pass before we even get to see October inflation. They need to get moving, like yesterday! If they don’t raise rates next week, then December 8 is the next scheduled announcement.

October 20, 2021
5:32 pm
mordko
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Not going to do it this year. Should but won’t. Eventually Mr Market will force BoC’s hand. And the rates will have to go higher and hurt more than if BoC acted sooner.

October 20, 2021
6:50 pm
Kidd
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inflation. The problem is very easy to fix, you draw the conclusion.

Food prices are up. Loblaws will make close to a billion dollars profit in 2021. In the first quarter of 2021, Loblaws beat estimates by 30%.

https://www.ctvnews.ca/business/loblaw-companies-reports-313m-q1-profit-up-from-240m-a-year-ago-1.5415104

Screenshot_20211020-213048.png

Gas prices are up. The Americans pay (in Canadian dollars) 60 cents less a litre. That's 30 Canadian dollars LESS on a 50 litre fill up. But our air is cleaner than theirs.

Screenshot_20211020-213157.png

Look at the money the Canadian banks bleed out of our economy.

October 20, 2021
6:59 pm
Koogie
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It's staggering to me that anyone can look at the price of gasoline in this country and can conclude that it's banks to blame and not government taxation... sf-surprised

October 20, 2021
7:01 pm
Kidd
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Koogie said
It's staggering to me that anyone can look at the price of gasoline in this country and can conclude that it's banks to blame and not government taxation... sf-surprised  

Hi Koogie. I gave 3 different reasons. I never made the link between banks and gasoline. You drew the wrong conclusion.

October 20, 2021
7:38 pm
AltaRed
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Bill said
There's a bunch of info re Cdn preferreds here, don't know if it's any good:
https://canadianpreferredshares.ca/  

There is discussion on preferreds at FWF https://www.financialwisdomforum.org/forum/viewtopic.php?t=113976 Start near the end of the thread, rather than at the start (2011)

Prefblog is not supposed to be for discussion. This is where James Hymas portfolio manager of https://www.himivest.com/malachite/MAPFMain.php provides a ton of free pricing analysis information to the consumer.

October 23, 2021
6:13 pm
Norman1
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CPI inflation has actually moderated.

From January to July, CPI prices were advancing around 6% per annum as indicated by the red line:
SeptCPI.png
That steep climb was broken from July to September when CPI prices advanced a more moderate 2.6% per annum as indicated by the brown line.

The green line illustrates a target 2% per annum inflation from pre-pandemic January 2020.

Two months is not enough to tell. But, things look promising! 🙂

October 23, 2021
7:41 pm
Loonie
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I'm not sure I follow you.
What I see is a steadily increasing divergence between target green line and red line.

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