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Ottawa's tax hike on the one per cent ended up lowering government revenues
September 29, 2018
8:33 am
Top It Up
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From Jamie Golombeck, in the National Post -

Ottawa's tax hike on the one per cent ended up lowering government revenues

The C.D. Howe Report, entitled Unhappy Returns: A Preliminary Estimate of Taxpayer Responsiveness to the 2016 Top Tax Rate Hike, and authored by its director of research, Alexandre Laurin, uses newly-released preliminary tax statistics to assess the impact of the federal 2016 high-income tax rate hike on the reported income of the top one-per-centers. When the tax was introduced, many commentators warned that high-income taxpayers would react to the hike by reducing their earned income or engaging in “tax avoidance.”

Previous studies have shown that top income earners, when confronted by a tax rate increase, are likely to change their behaviour in various ways: some may reduce work effort by choosing leisure over more work, while others may plan their affairs in a way to minimize their tax burden. In other words, high tax rates may discourage earning additional income and may encourage shifting taxable income to different forms, times and jurisdictions. High rates may not only negatively affect the economy, but they may add little to, or, as the study shows, even reduce, government revenues.

https://business.financialpost.com/personal-finance/taxes/ottawas-tax-hike-on-the-one-per-cent-ended-up-lowering-government-revenues

September 29, 2018
12:36 pm
Koogie
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Huh... the rich won't stand still while you fleece them... who woulda thunk it....

September 29, 2018
4:59 pm
Loonie
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Yeah, they'd rather pay their accountants and lawyers the big bucks to figure out how to avoid taxes rather than just pay them!

September 29, 2018
6:02 pm
GoJetsGo
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Loonie, your comment is coming across very derogatory to the rich. The one-percenters pay a huge portion of our country’s tax bill and your comment makes it appear that they should just bend over and take it when they are asked to pay more than they currently do. Do you pay more tax than the tax laws tell you you’re supposed to? Do you take the GIC your bank offers you or do you do your research and search the best rate that is legally available to you?

As a former business owner, I indeed paid a lawyer & accountant to set up a family trust and holding company. This allowed me to defer some income to pay less tax over my lifetime. I paid A LOT of tax over the years, but this process allowed me to sell my company and retire at a very young age. So yeah, I took your comment personally.

September 29, 2018
8:02 pm
Bill
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GoJetsGo, don't worry about it, the politics of envy is the human condition. It's not greed to scrape around to get every last 1/4 % of interest on a GIC, it is greed to rearrange your affairs to minimize taxes IF you're "rich", you know the template narrative...….

The only really rich guy I personally know finally had enough and, along with his corporations, became a resident of the Caymans this year (no change for him as his regular schedule already had him out of Canada for more than half the year for years now and Cayman doesn't require you to actually be there hardly at all if you've bought a residence there), he only did it because he's fine paying up to 50% or so but there was a straw that broke the camel's back (I think more than the tax rate it was how he felt our taxes are being spent) and so he just rearranged some stuff and now Canada's out a whack of taxes. Good riddance, say many, and I've got a standing invite to go stay there for a while if I every want to, he'll even fly me there and back!

September 29, 2018
8:32 pm
Loonie
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Go ahead, take it personally if you want.
We too had a corporation, and paid far too much to accountants and lawyers. It's the gov't that is at fault for having such a complex system and allowing so many loopholes, which require accountants and lawyers to sort out - and it doesn't matter which party is in power. I've never met a small business person who hasn't complained at length about the time, effort, and worry it took them to deal with it.

I have benefitted from some rules that I didn't really think were fair in the larger sense, but you don't have a lot of choice, given the complexity of the system. No doubt some people have a clearer sense of entitlement.

In my opinion, these options of trusts and putting income forward and sharing with family members ought not to be allowed. Just my opinion. You needn't worry. It will never happen.

And, by the way, this has nothing at all to do with looking for the best return on your GICs. That does not negatively affect the government's budget. In fact, it helps. The more interest you get, the more income tax you pay!

September 30, 2018
5:23 am
Bill
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When an fi pays out more in gic interest there are more tax impacts than one. More interest expense means less profits thus less income tax paid by fi. Less profit may mean less taxable dividends paid to shareholders. It may mean cutting staff thus less working taxpayers. That's Top It Up's point, taxing the rich more can lower tax revenues. But some folks prefer to virtue signal even if a policy is damaging.

September 30, 2018
7:22 am
Loonie
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Thanks for the laugh, Bill, but I don't believe for one second that a bank would increase its GIC rates with the expectation of losing money. I'm sure you are aware that when GIC rates go up, loan interest rates and bank income also goes up.

Banks cut staff whenever it suits them to do so.

September 30, 2018
8:23 am
Bill
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Again, it's not that linear, there's not a direct corresponding reaction that when $1M extra of interest expense occurs that there's an immediate corresponding $1M extra revenue generated from loan interest by every single fi. Profits go up and down from year to year, some fi's (not just banks) prosper more one year than another fi, each fi is affected differently (depending on their portfolio of loans, ability to replace lost business in one area by corresponding increase in another, and a host of other factors) in the short-term and so they make decisions including the examples I provided. I kind of feel like I'm stating the obvious, but in any event I think most folks get the original point of the thread, that taxing those who have the most can have negative consequences for the economy at large.

And I'm pretty sure any business hires and cuts staff whenever it suits them, again I'm stating the obvious.

September 30, 2018
4:50 pm
Loonie
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Of course, exact figures on profits vary, just as our average GIC income varies from year to year depending on rates and maturities. And when they take on risky ventures, there is a higher probability of both winning and losing. The bigger the bank, the more risky ventures they take on - just like big pension plans. Yes, bank profits vary, just like my GIC income does.

What matters in the case of GICs vs related loans is the spread, i.e. the difference between the loan rate and the GIC rate. This is where the profit is made in that part of their business.

When interest rates bottomed out, the banks were complaining that the spread was so small that they were having more trouble making money. Low interest rates were bad for them. And, indeed, some people mentioned on this forum that the GIC and loan rates were so close that they wondered how any profit could be made. Others informed us that term loans and GICs were always matched, that this is how the banks do business.

Did I say that banks were the only ones who used their discretion in hiring and firing? No. So the fact that others do it is irrelevant, as is the notion that it's related to GIC rates.

If this particular tax did not work out as hoped, it has nothing to do with GIC rates. It's even possible that it was instituted mostly for "show", to make it look like they were taxing the rich when they really weren't. They would have or should have known the routes people would use to avoid it. With the amount and kind of experience Morneau has in the financial industry, it's not rocket science.

September 30, 2018
8:34 pm
AltaRed
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Loonie said
If this particular tax did not work out as hoped, it has nothing to do with GIC rates. It's even possible that it was instituted mostly for "show", to make it look like they were taxing the rich when they really weren't. They would have or should have known the routes people would use to avoid it. With the amount and kind of experience Morneau has in the financial industry, it's not rocket science.  

I suspect Morneau understood the potential for little value added but went along with conventional Liberal ideology, never mind the minions in the civil service (most likely without any private sector experience) cranking out the numbers. Most tax savvy folk can figure out compensation packages would be changed to make more compensation taxable as dividend or CG income. The ultimate change of course is relocation of HQ (or at least Executive offices) to a tax friendly jurisdiction allowing senior ranks to be resident somewhere else.

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