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OSFI lifts restrictions on dividend increases and share repurchases
November 4, 2021
12:36 pm
Norman1
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OSFI has lifted the COVID restrictions on dividend increases and share buybacks for federally-regulated financial institutions:

Beginning today, institutions may again increase regular dividends and executive compensation. Additionally, subject to the existing requirement for Superintendent approval, they may once again repurchase shares.

November 4, 2021
1:54 pm
Loonie
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This is of no benefit to GIC shoppers, of course, and could make prospects worse.

November 4, 2021
2:27 pm
canadian.100
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Loonie said
This is of no benefit to GIC shoppers, of course, and could make prospects worse.  

It is however, good news for investors in bank shares. Would expect the returns on bank shares to continue to be even more attractive with the increased dividends.
As I think you once said, people don't buy GICs because of interest rates - they buy them for being safe under CDIC - GIC buyers will continue to have that.

November 4, 2021
5:01 pm
AltaRed
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Should be good news for me, a holder of TD, RBC, BMO and BNS shares although I don't expect the dividend jump will be as large as some believe. Save some powder for 2022.

I don't know how this will change what banks are willing to pay for deposits. They simply have excess capital today that needs to be deployed in some manner (dividend increases, share buybacks, acquisitions). GIC rates are more closely tied to bond yields.

November 4, 2021
6:38 pm
savemoresaveoften
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Perfect timing as I was looking at the bank dividend yield and am thinking hmmm they are too low 🙂

November 4, 2021
6:59 pm
COIN
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Paying out cash dividends to shareholders is a nice way to run down the bank's cash reserve.

November 4, 2021
9:16 pm
Loonie
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canadian.100 said

It is however, good news for investors in bank shares. Would expect the returns on bank shares to continue to be even more attractive with the increased dividends.
As I think you once said, people don't buy GICs because of interest rates - they buy them for being safe under CDIC - GIC buyers will continue to have that.  

Really, I was pointing out that this freebie does not relate to "high interest savings", the subject of this forum. The wording of the OP is potentially confusing and made me wonder why it was here.

I think everyone here is aware of how banks and bank shares work.

November 5, 2021
5:02 am
canadian.100
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Loonie said

I think everyone here is aware of how banks and bank shares work.  

My impression is there is a wide range of people who post on this forum, and from some comments they post, I am not so sure "everyone" here is that aware of how banks and bank shares work.

I agree with you that the OSFI action will likely have no effect on HISAs and GICs. However, holders of such still have safety and CDIC protection - so we have related the OSFI announcement to HISAs and GICs and therefore we are still on topic of HISAs, the subject of this forum.

November 5, 2021
9:44 am
Norman1
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Excess capital can be loaned out just like deposit money. In fact, excess capital is better than deposit money because excess capital never has to be repaid and no interest needs to be paid on it to keep it!

When they have billions of dollars of excess capital that they cannot pay out to shareholders, the financial institutions have that much less incentive to accept deposits.

When financial institutions don't want deposits, they don't stop accepting money. They just pay lousy rates for the deposits, like that 0.05% on the RBC High Interest eSavings account.

November 5, 2021
10:06 am
Loonie
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So, I think what you are saying is that they have too much money, but this is not news. They could have been paying better interest on deposits all along, as other FIs did. I think that as far as deposits go, they are really best suited to large institutional accounts which cannot be protected by CDIC. Once in a while they have a good promo, but most of their promos are riddled with hoops and conditions that make them undesirable.

November 5, 2021
3:56 pm
Bill
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If you don't really want more deposits than clearly you're not going to offer better savings interest rates than FIs that are trying to attract deposits, that's only logical business sense.

November 5, 2021
4:27 pm
Dean
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.
Yet another Good thread, started by Norman. But FWIW, I think it may be misplaced.

Such threads about stocks, dividend increases and share buybacks, usually
go here https://www.highinterestsavings.ca/forum/investing/

This is Peter's Domain ... so he can make the call.

Cheerio ❗ sf-smile

    Dean

sf-cool " Live Long, Healthy ... And Prosper! " sf-cool

November 5, 2021
6:06 pm
Loonie
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Bill said
If you don't really want more deposits than clearly you're not going to offer better savings interest rates than FIs that are trying to attract deposits, that's only logical business sense.  

By that logic, it would appear they really never want any deposits, as they never have good rates except for the very occasional promo.

Nobody should accept the idea that the big banks don't want your money. This kind of thinking serves to make people think they don't deserve any more and can discourage them from looking further afield.
They always want your money; they just don't want to pay for it. When they have deposit limits on all their accounts, then I'll believe they don't want any more money.

November 5, 2021
8:23 pm
AltaRed
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The big banks will take all the money they can at 0.05% interest or perhaps 0.01% interest. It is cheaper than 0.2-0.25% they would have to pay elsewhere. The big banks simply have access to cheap sources of capital.

US domiciled deposit rates are even less. High yield savings account are at 0.6% or less. https://www.bankrate.com/banking/savings/best-high-yield-interests-savings-accounts/

I have been getting 0.01% on my interest bearing chequing account at Wells Fargo for at least the past year (maybe two or more).

MFC was the first out of the gate today of the financials post-OSFI announcement with a dividend hike. I will take that one too.

November 6, 2021
5:38 am
Bill
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As always looking forward to my dividends too, the big 5 know what they're doing, that's why they became big in the first place and have been around forever. As you say, AltaRed, they get money cheaper than the small fish, so that's a huge advantage. Just one reason us owners have made a lot more on these investments over the decades than if they'd offered "competitive" gic rates for us to buy instead. I don't think I've ever bought a gic from RBC, etc, there's never any point, doesn't seem to have slowed them down an iota.

Re Wells Fargo, etc, not sure how USA larger banks have compared as investments (vs buying their certificates of deposit) over the years, never invested that way, maybe it's the same in USA - ?

November 6, 2021
8:57 am
AltaRed
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I don't pay attention to US banks per se. I'd not invest in them (at least not directly - but I do indirectly by owning VTI ETF) after the financial crisis of 2008-09. Too many were way out of their league in terms of engineered products, NINJA mortgages and customer deception. Their CDs operate similarly to Canadian GICs but I never owned any when a resident of USA. In short, I don't trust US banks like I do most banks in Canada where I believe we have a far more robust regulatory system through OSFI, etc.

November 6, 2021
12:55 pm
Bill
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I agree, Alta Red, USA banking system doesn't inspire the same confidence in me as Canadian one, i.e. Wells Fargo, sounds kind of Wild West-y, somehow Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce sounds about as solid as you can be.

November 6, 2021
1:29 pm
Dean
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Bill said

I agree, Alta Red, USA banking system doesn't inspire the same confidence in me as Canadian one, i.e. Wells Fargo, sounds kind of Wild West-y, somehow Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce sounds about as solid as you can be.  

"Never judge a book by its cover" sf-wink

Just like Wells Fargo, CIBC has had its share of troubles.

    Dean

sf-cool " Live Long, Healthy ... And Prosper! " sf-cool

November 6, 2021
7:15 pm
Kidd
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All i read from this... bank executives get pay raises again. How pathetic is that?

November 6, 2021
8:38 pm
AltaRed
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Kidd said
All i read from this... bank executives get pay raises again. How pathetic is that?  

Executive compensation is always a thorn in the side of most of us. Regardless, the effect on the overall financials is pretty marginal. The banks probably spend more system wide on potted plants every year. There are other things I get more twisted off about than executive pigs at the trough.

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