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New 2024 federal budget
April 17, 2024
3:19 pm
mordko
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Alexandre said

Did you not notice mostly in my phrase?

Actually, good example of unfairness of capital gain taxes.

An employee in Ontario on full time job with salary of $100,000 would pay $23K in taxes. So would doctor. Except incorporated doctor could elect to pay herself dividend instead of salary, and that will be taxed at $16K.

I understand why people who benefit from tax avoidance schemes would protect them, but there is no fairness in two jobs with same salary taxed at vastly different rates.

As well as there is no fairness in same job (physician) taxed at different rates depending on how person decided to package their employment income.  

That’s not a good example at all, largely because its false, likely designed to mislead and at best provided by someone clueless who never heard of tax integration.

An incorporated doctor will have his income taxed more than once. There will be corporate taxes which are fairly complicated. While personal taxes will be lower for the dividend-paying doctor, ignoring corporate tax is going to land you in trouble with CRA.

There are other differences (RRSP contribution room, CPP contributions), but essentially, it hardly matters if you pay yourself in the form of salary or dividend. I prefer salary because I want RRSP room and CPP.

April 17, 2024
4:38 pm
Alexandre
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AltaRed said
Anyone (person or business) who has less net income after taxes will ultimately spend less on something else whatever it may be. Higher cap gains taxation takes cash flow out of the economy and that leaves less to spend on goods and services that make up our national GDP.

That argument is based on a false assumption that money taken from taxpayer simply disappears. It does not.
The government spends that money. Including on social assistance.

For one taxpayer like you who might need to pay a bit more in taxes and won't go to bed hungry anyway, hundred may have few more dollars to spend. That will offset for Canadian economy whatever sacrifices you will have to make personally.

April 17, 2024
4:42 pm
Alexandre
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I never thought I would agree with Trudeau on anything, but here we are:

On Wednesday morning at a meeting of the Liberal caucus, Trudeau said it isn't right that multi-millionaires are asked to pay less tax on capital gains than a teacher or electrician pays on their income.

He said the change [increasing the portion of capital gains that is taxed from 50 per cent to 66 per cent] would not affect 99.87 per cent of the population at all.

April 17, 2024
5:42 pm
AltaRed
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Alexandre said

AltaRed said
Anyone (person or business) who has less net income after taxes will ultimately spend less on something else whatever it may be. Higher cap gains taxation takes cash flow out of the economy and that leaves less to spend on goods and services that make up our national GDP.

That argument is based on a false assumption that money taken from taxpayer simply disappears. It does not.
The government spends that money. Including on social assistance.

For one taxpayer like you who might need to pay a bit more in taxes and won't go to bed hungry anyway, hundred may have few more dollars to spend. That will offset for Canadian economy whatever sacrifices you will have to make personally.  

Dollars can be spent inefficiently, or efficiently. Government rarely spends a taxpayer dollar productively to generate $7 of economic impact whereas small numbers of tech professionals can create buckets of dollars of GDP from the same dollar spent. Think about the $59M spent on ArriveCan app. The app itself produced zero productivity gain. All that happened is $59M was spent on wages and salaries, and we have to hope that at least some of it went into the pockets of some bright people who actually could leverage that dollar into productivity elsewhere.

OTOH, a few thousand employees at an oilsands facility of Suncor or CNRL creates billions of dollars of revenue, billions of dollars of expenditures in goods and services and wages, a major contribution to GDP and the balance of trade, and massive profits delivered to their shareholders. I don't know what their economic multiplier is, but it could be well into double digits. They are becoming even more efficient and productive as they automate their processes, incorporate driverless trucks et al.

It matters who has access to, and spends, that dollar. That is why all major projects in the private domain, as part of the approval process, have to generate cost benefit and economic impact studies to demonstrate how they add to the productivity and wealth of the country.... in the public interest. I have been party to a number of such examinations/scrutiny from regulatory authorities.

Added: There can be instances where investment by the government can provide a strong return on investment. Best example at the moment is the TransMountain Expansion will generate billions of dollars of GDP with relatively few people and wages. The project was too big for a private company to take the risk but the cost benefit and economic impact analyses would have shown massive positive impacts to GDP. So despite funding an oil pipeline being against government green transition policy, Ottawa knew that would be a win-win for the Canadian economy. The reduction in the WCS differential alone will likely cover the investment over time. Plus they will be able to sell it to private interests now that it is going into service.

IOW, it matters how and where the dollars are spent to achieve those productivity gains. Canada has to do something soon to arrest its continual productivity decline.

April 17, 2024
6:33 pm
mordko
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He said the change [increasing the portion of capital gains that is taxed from 50 per cent to 66 per cent] would not affect 99.87 per cent of the population at all.

Great soundbite and always cool to pander to the “tax the rich” crowd but not true.

The really rich people won’t be impacted, other than by having to pay more to their lawyers and accountants.

Middle class people with a cottage or a couple of mil in investments will be impacted unless they pay lawyers and accountants for a different way to pass on inheritance or make a sale.

Landlords will be impacted and the number of dwellings available for rent will go down impacting rents.

High end doctors, dentists, lawyers, accountants, engineers and other professionals will be impacted. These are highly qualified people which Canada is short of. Its not a huge deal in dollar terms but the messaging is clear: screw you. Some will retire early, others will leave for greener pastures. Young people will look for careers which don’t take so long to qualify for. This will impact people who use doctors, electricity, etc.

Nobody will pay more overall except for the careless, but some taxes will be paid earlier, so the government will report better news on debt for 2024. In the long term tax intake will be reduced.

Capital flight will accelerate, causing fall in productivity, more stagflation and unemployment.

Everyone in Canada will be impacted.

April 17, 2024
6:37 pm
Lodown
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Alexandre said
I never thought I would agree with Trudeau on anything, but here we are:

On Wednesday morning at a meeting of the Liberal caucus, Trudeau said it isn't right that multi-millionaires are asked to pay less tax on capital gains than a teacher or electrician pays on their income.

He said the change [increasing the portion of capital gains that is taxed from 50 per cent to 66 per cent] would not affect 99.87 per cent of the population at all.

  

Another report said the additional CG tax would bring in $20B over four years. If Trudeau is to be believed, ONLY 52000 Canadians will suffer the tax paying $100,000 more per year on average. And if you think the extra money will help the economy...it won't. The budget also has a $40B deficit so the extra cash will mostly go to Interest payments on the massive Federal debt...and debt Interest does very little for an economy and productivity especially when a good part of the Federal debt is held offshore.

April 17, 2024
6:49 pm
AltaRed
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In short, the government has decided to tax the very folk and businesses who are the most productive in generating GDP per capita, and thus support/improve our national standard of living. Without better allocation of capital, Canada will continue to slip relative to OECD peers and that matters if we want to 'stay in the game'. I suspect the effects of this change will start to show itself in economic metrics by this time next year.

BTW Mordko, this change will also have a significant effect on our start ups and innovative ventures which rely a lot on paying their employees with stock options until such time enough revenue is being generated to boost salaries. The very ventures that Ottawa was attempting to nourish have been hit. The most creative of these can simply pick up their stakes and cross the border for a more friendly environment.

April 17, 2024
7:05 pm
mordko
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True enough. But fear not, the government will “invest” in AI.

Why do we need our tax money to pay for AI when far more effective private money is falling arse over tits to invest trillions in AI? Just another soundbite for particularly gullible alongside a $2.5bn price tag. Perhaps the government just loves the idea of being associated with the word “intelligence” for a change.

April 17, 2024
8:40 pm
HermanH
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AltaRed said
The most creative of these can simply pick up their stakes and cross the border for a more friendly environment.  

A good many 'tech nomads' already do just that; select a country with the most favourable tax regime and just work remotely.

April 18, 2024
4:36 am
savemoresaveoften
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risk fairness said

The point is that the Government is already offsetting the risk of loss by offering the loss deduction.  

thats is the most fair nothing generous at all. If one has both capital loss AND capital gain, its only fair for someone to be able to use loss to offset the gain. Any other way is simply wrong.

April 18, 2024
4:39 am
savemoresaveoften
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mordko said
An incorporated doctor will have his income taxed more than once. There will be corporate taxes which are fairly complicated. While personal taxes will be lower for the dividend-paying doctor, ignoring corporate tax is going to land you in trouble with CRA.

Given all the doctors, dentists and pharmacists I know have all incorporated their practice / business, I do not believe for a second that there is no benefit doing so, vs paying oneself 100% salary from the profit.
Or simply all these professionals are dumb and listen to their lawyers and accountants and pay them fee for something with zero benefit at the end ? I dont think so.

April 18, 2024
4:44 am
AR
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Does Trudeau pay tax?

April 18, 2024
5:09 am
mordko
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savemoresaveoften said

mordko said
An incorporated doctor will have his income taxed more than once. There will be corporate taxes which are fairly complicated. While personal taxes will be lower for the dividend-paying doctor, ignoring corporate tax is going to land you in trouble with CRA.

Given all the doctors, dentists and pharmacists I know have all incorporated their practice / business, I do not believe for a second that there is no benefit doing so, vs paying oneself 100% salary from the profit.
Or simply all these professionals are dumb and listen to their lawyers and accountants and pay them fee for something with zero benefit at the end ? I dont think so.  

There are several benefits. The first one is dealing with liability and insurance. The second one is the ability to spread your income.

A highly trained professional might be 30 years old before he is fully qualified. Up until that point he worked like crazy to learn, took summer jobs and spent, spent, spent to get education. Once he is fully qualified, he then gets much higher income than someone who can’t count to 10 but started earning at his maximum capacity at 20. At that point our doctor gets clobbered with over 50% tax on most of his income. Thats expropriation in my book. Incorporating allows him to spread his income over his lifetime. He can decide what he pays himself (either as salary or dividends, no meaningful difference) while the rest gets taxed at a corporate rate and stays invested within his corp. Its his retirement fund. His average tax rate goes down from 50%. Income and capital gains within corp are taxed too. Eventually, once retired he’ll take investments out of corp, hopefully at a tax rate below 50%. Its his RRSP. Unlike RRSP its taxed throughout but allows for some tax deferral. Our doctor had his earning life reduced and earnings per year more concentrated by starting late but incorporating allows him to push some of the earnings into the future lower income retirement years.

Up until now the effective tax on investing income and capital gains was very close to non-registered investments (by the time you withdraw the money from corp). That was deliberate. Now our doctor’s retirement savings are treated worse than non-reg for capital gains.

In my case the dollar difference is relatively small; I haven’t been incorporated all that long. But the message is blatant. Studying for a long time and working long hours gets you punished. Relax. Work part time. Retire early. Or leave. Best of all - get a government job. Poor Taxpayer will look after your retirement well. Government jobs are multiplying superfast. No liability insurance because the taxpayer carries all liability. No long hours. Everything guaranteed. This is the “middle class” the government cares for.

April 18, 2024
5:15 am
savemoresaveoften
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Alexandre said
I never thought I would agree with Trudeau on anything, but here we are:

On Wednesday morning at a meeting of the Liberal caucus, Trudeau said it isn't right that multi-millionaires are asked to pay less tax on capital gains than a teacher or electrician pays on their income.

He said the change [increasing the portion of capital gains that is taxed from 50 per cent to 66 per cent] would not affect 99.87 per cent of the population at all.

  

The wealthy are paying a much higher absolute tax, simply focus on %tax and says its unfair is to please the voters so he can keep his job, which comes with crazy pension benefits, all funded by the taxpayers.

Saying its only fair for those who are successful to pay a higher absolute and relative tax is totally socialist and nothing else. Thats complete disincentive to productivity, innovation, study hard at school, etc etc

If anything taxing capital gain at 100% on rental properties is what will be proper, and reduce property hoarding. I dont see landlords being value added or have a positive impact to both our housing situation or GDP.

April 18, 2024
5:21 am
savemoresaveoften
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mordko said
the message is blatant. Studying for a long time and working long hours gets you punished. Relax. Work part time. Retire early. Or leave. Best of all - get a government job. Poor Taxpayer will look after your retirement well. Government jobs are multiplying superfast. No liability insurance because the taxpayer carries all liability. No long hours. Everything guatanteed. These is the “middle class” the government cares for.  

I agree with this 100%. Any time a tax system targets the successful, its anti productivity, thats the simple truth.
But given the poor and the middle age will always outnumber the wealthy by a huge margin, and each person gets 1 vote, every politician ends up pleasing the "majority". Politicians will think/act very differently if its not a paying job or worry about re-election, and they truly will execute whats best for the country, starting with pruning all the extra fats and silly spending in government jobs.

April 18, 2024
5:26 am
mordko
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Except they are incentivizing professionals to work less. They’ll get less taxes after the initial boost. Longer waiting times, etc. Sooner or later everyone will figure out that this was bad for all.

April 18, 2024
5:32 am
savemoresaveoften
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mordko said
Except they are incentivizing professionals to work less. They’ll get less taxes after the initial boost. Longer waiting times, etc. Sooner or later everyone will figure out that this was bad for all.  

The general public will not associate the longer wait times etc due to disincentive to work as a result of high tax. Instead will just blame doctors to be lazy, etc etc.
Just like every time any new tax policy targets banks, and lately groceries stores, the public always cheer and think it's a good move. They don't think deep enough.

April 18, 2024
6:52 am
COIN
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All or almost all successful pension funds invest mostly in equities.

April 18, 2024
8:34 am
AltaRed
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The bottom line is this new, higher capital gains inclusion rate is a headwind to the very people Canada needs to grow GDP per capita. The professionals, the entrepreneurs, the innovators, the landlords, capital re-investment in the businesses and corporations that grow the economy. The impact will trickle down to affecting almost all Canadians.

Some members here simply do not want to understand it thinking it is only a tax on 0.14% of wealthy Canadians. It is a masterful con job that will affect the initiative to improve productivity and if it stays long term, it will affect capital market valuations reducing gross tax revenue, and the return performance of especially DC pension plans, RRSPs, etc.

Paul Martin was the one in year 2000 who said we had to reduce the inclusion rate to encourage innovation and capital re-investment. It had its intended effect as Canada's economy performed well during the first decade of this millennium, partly because of the incentives to do better.

I actually suspect the 66% inclusion rate will not last too many years. The effects will start to show as early as 2025 and within 5 years after that, it will be gone back to 50%. The crafty con artists in Ottawa will see a boost in capital gains taxes in 2024 because some folk will pre-maturely crystallize cap gains before the June deadline. That will allow Ottawa to avoid showing a $45B fiscal deficit for 2024-25 and thus mitigate vulnerability in the 2025 federal election. This tactic is as clever and cunning as anything I have seen from this government.

I intend to do the opposite provided I don't die in the mean time. I will defer crystallization of capital gains as much as possible until the 66% inclusion rate goes away.....and it will someday. Even though the 66% inclusion rate does not kick in until $250k of cap gains has been crystallized each year, It will be my defiant way of denying them cap gains taxes from me that they might have otherwise gotten with continuation of 50% inclusion rate. I would encourage all taxpayers who can do so (that are not incorporated) to do the same. Deny them as much cap gains as possible at least in 2024 and 2025 by deferring capital sales until at least 2026.

I have looked at my portfolio and other than cap gains from ETF T3 tax slips that I cannot control, I will NOT crystallize anything with taxable cap gains until at least 2026. Maybe by then, we will have a change in government that will kill this 66% inclusion rate sometime as early as the 2026 tax year.

April 18, 2024
8:35 am
risk fairness
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savemoresaveoften said

thats is the most fair nothing generous at all. If one has both capital loss AND capital gain, its only fair for someone to be able to use loss to offset the gain. Any other way is simply wrong.  

Sure looks like double dipping:
1. Capital gains should be taxed at a discounted rate because the investment requires risk of loss. (dip one from of the tax base watering hole)
2. Capital losses should be offset by subtracting them from any capital gains (dip two from the tax base watering hole)

Of course the capital loss deduction is reasonable and fair, but given that deduction the additional benefit of reduced tax on capital gains is unreasonable and unfair to the majority of salaried tax payers.

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