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BoC Rate vs GIC
September 10, 2022
7:25 am
two_yolks
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Once the BoC raises or lowers the interest rate do the banks automatically adjust their GIC rates? Is there any logic to their rates?

I want to buy a GIC but with the BoC raising their rate last week I don't know if I should be waiting for the bank to raise their rate or will I be waiting forever.

September 10, 2022
7:45 am
canadian.100
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two_yolks said
Once the BoC raises or lowers the interest rate do the banks automatically adjust their GIC rates? Is there any logic to their rates?

I want to buy a GIC but with the BoC raising their rate last week I don't know if I should be waiting for the bank to raise their rate or will I be waiting forever.  

Trying to “time the market”?

September 10, 2022
8:05 am
cgouimet
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two_yolks said
Once the BoC raises or lowers the interest rate do the banks automatically adjust their GIC rates? Is there any logic to their rates?

I want to buy a GIC but with the BoC raising their rate last week I don't know if I should be waiting for the bank to raise their rate or will I be waiting forever.  

FI's are usually quite prompt at following the BoC rate increases on their lending rates but tend to be a "little" slower on the way down.

FI's tend to be more deliberate on the deposit sides of their business as they balance their needs/wants for various cash buckets to support their lending business. They'll keep their rates as low as possible maintain their desired/needed deposits as they try to maximize their margins.

CGO
September 10, 2022
8:17 am
Norman1
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So, deposit rates are adjusted up or down depending on how the deposits flowing in compare with the loans being made, regardless of the Bank of Canada rate.

The deposits versus loans is not the same for each bank. If a bank has no need for more 3-year deposits for 3-year loans, then the bank won't care if its 3-year GIC rate falls to the bottom of the rate charts.

September 10, 2022
8:30 am
Alexandre
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two_yolks said
I want to buy a GIC but with the BoC raising their rate last week I don't know if I should be waiting for the bank to raise their rate or will I be waiting forever.  

Let me give you an opinion from a different angle.

Ask yourself, why would you want to buy GIC. If this is just to make an extra dollar, but otherwise your income exceeds your expenses - then don't. You'll just lock your money in GIC for no reason.

The spread between top HISA and top 1yr GIC rate is 1.3% currently. If you plan to lock $100,000 in GIC, you will gain about $100/mo. That assuming HISA rates won't go up in next 12 months, and they most definitely will. Does extra $100/mo worth for you losing access to $100K for a year? You decide.

Perhaps, you are sitting on a cash in excess of $1M, which makes spread between 1yr GIC and HISA way more attractive. Still, if you do have over $1M in cash, retired and over 70 years old - just take $30K from that money annually in addition to all your pensions, and worry little about GIC interest rates. You most likely won't run out of your money till the last day of your life, if you will spend it like middle class Canadian does.

September 10, 2022
8:34 am
AltaRed
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Norman1 said
So, deposit rates are adjusted up or down depending on how the deposits flowing in compare with the loans being made, regardless of the Bank of Canada rate.

The deposits versus loans is not the same for each bank. If a bank has no need for more 3-year deposits for 3-year loans, then the bank won't care if its 3-year GIC rate falls to the bottom of the rate charts.  

I don't know how many times this sort of thing needs to be said in threads of this site but it seems 'very often'. No rates, HISA or GIC, from any financial institution move up or down unless the specific financial institution has a need to increase or decrease a specific type of deposit to meet its lending needs at that specific time.

September 10, 2022
8:41 am
cgouimet
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A lot of very similar opinions here that hopefully will sink in ...

FI's are not Charities.

Customers gain only when their suppliers feel the need to do so for their own benefit.

Would you sell your house or car to the lowest bidder to be nice?

CGO
September 10, 2022
9:01 am
two_yolks
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canadian.100 said

Trying to “time the market”?  

No, I'm going to buy a GIC and want to know if I should wait a day, a week or just buy it now. If I buy it today knowing that banks raise their rates on a Monday then that wouldn't be very wise.

September 10, 2022
9:10 am
two_yolks
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AltaRed said

I don't know how many times this sort of thing needs to be said in threads of this site but it seems 'very often'. No rates, HISA or GIC, from any financial institution move up or down unless the specific financial institution has a need to increase or decrease a specific type of deposit to meet its lending needs at that specific time.  

From your reply you make it sound like you're frustrated with this question, am I okay to ask further question in this forum?

September 10, 2022
9:17 am
cgouimet
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two_yolks said

No, I'm going to buy a GIC and want to know if I should wait a day, a week or just buy it now. If I buy it today knowing that banks raise their rates on a Monday then that wouldn't be very wise.  

The only scheduled, closely watched and very well forecasted rate change is the Bank of Canada Rate. Everything else is Financial Institutions jockeing for position to optimize their loan/deposit balances ...

You get to sit and wait to commit until you can no longer stand the itch ...

CGO
September 10, 2022
10:02 am
Dean
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Norman1 said

So, deposit rates are adjusted up or down depending on how the deposits flowing in compare with the loans being made, regardless of the Bank of Canada rate.

The deposits versus loans is not the same for each bank. If a bank has no need for more 3-year deposits for 3-year loans, then the bank won't care if its 3-year GIC rate falls to the bottom of the rate charts.  

Copy That ⬆

    Dean

sf-cool " Live Long, Healthy ... And Prosper! " sf-cool

September 10, 2022
10:14 am
cgouimet
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Dean said

Copy That ⬆

    Dean

  

And Paste...

CGO
September 10, 2022
10:37 am
Bill
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AltaRed's comment made me wonder: how much of the internet has info stored that nobody ever looks at again? This site, for example, what % of views involve searching for posts more than a few days old? Probably almost zero. People, including me, are going to ask a question without first reviewing all previous posts to see if it's already been answered. Delete all posts older than a week or so, save the planet!

September 10, 2022
10:46 am
cgouimet
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Bill said
AltaRed's comment made me wonder: how much of the internet has info stored that nobody ever looks at again? This site, for example, what % of views involve searching for posts more than a few days old? Probably almost zero. People, including me, are going to ask a question without first reviewing all previous posts to see if it's already been answered. Delete all posts older than a week or so, save the planet!  

No. While thought and research might be the last thing some people want to spend time at, some of us do a lot of it and that history is a useful resource ...

CGO
September 10, 2022
10:56 am
Bill
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So you're saying if you'd had OP's original question you would have first searched the site? Ok, fine, but I wouldn't have known what search term would bring up the desired answer - help me, can you suggest one that would brought up the relevant prior posts?

September 10, 2022
11:03 am
cgouimet
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Bill said
So you're saying if you'd had OP's original question you would have first searched the site? Ok, fine, but I wouldn't have known what search term would bring up the desired answer - help me, can you suggest one that would brought up the relevant prior posts?  

"Who are Bill, Dean, Loonie, CGOuimet, Norman, AltaRed, elal and what are they full off?"

🙂

CGO
September 10, 2022
11:30 am
HermanH
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Norman1 said
So, deposit rates are adjusted up or down depending on how the deposits flowing in compare with the loans being made, regardless of the Bank of Canada rate.

Can you foresee a situation whereby the BoC rate goes up from 3.25% to 5% without any subsequent reaction GIC rates?

September 10, 2022
11:35 am
cgouimet
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Bill said
AltaRed's comment made me wonder: how much of the internet has info stored that nobody ever looks at again? This site, for example, what % of views involve searching for posts more than a few days old? Probably almost zero. People, including me, are going to ask a question without first reviewing all previous posts to see if it's already been answered. Delete all posts older than a week or so, save the planet!  

To find out the value of something, throw it out ...

CGO
September 10, 2022
11:38 am
Bill
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Exactly, there would have been no way to effectively "research" the OP's original query. But, whatever, it was just a suggestion.

two_yolks, probably a lot of people wait a week or so after the BoC announcement to see if there's any reaction (some fi's had made their moves proactively, anticipating the expected increase) before jumping in. A week or so means little for a GIC, even less the longer the term. Also have to compare to your current HISA options, i.e. no hurry buying a 1-yr GIC if your HISA isn't much less.

September 10, 2022
11:59 am
HermanH
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Bill said probably a lot of people wait a week or so after the BoC announcement to see if there's any reaction (some fi's had made their moves proactively, anticipating the expected increase) before jumping in.

I was looking at Hubert's history and got the impression that they raise rates about half of what they anticipate the next BoC announcement will be. Then, a month later, they 'top up' with a second adjustment.

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