Bank of Canada Rate | Page 5 | General financial discussion | Discussion forum

Please consider registering
guest

sp_LogInOut Log In sp_Registration Register

Register | Lost password?
Advanced Search

— Forum Scope —




— Match —





— Forum Options —





Minimum search word length is 3 characters - maximum search word length is 84 characters

No permission to create posts
sp_Feed Topic RSS sp_TopicIcon
Bank of Canada Rate
October 20, 2024
6:24 pm
Winnie
Ontario
Member
Members
Forum Posts: 467
Member Since:
December 7, 2011
sp_UserOfflineSmall Offline

smayer97 said
...I would not be surprised with a 50 pts drop at the next announcement next Wed.  

My prediction, that on Oct 23 BoC will reduce rate to 3.75% and another reduction to 3.25% will be on Dec 11.
BoC rate will drop 1% before end of the year.

October 20, 2024
6:48 pm
bobwatford
Member
Members
Forum Posts: 19
Member Since:
September 14, 2022
sp_UserOfflineSmall Offline

Winnie said

My prediction, that on Oct 23 BoC will reduce rate to 3.75% and another reduction to 3.25% will be on Dec 11.
BoC rate will drop 1% before end of the year.  

I think the chance of that is about zilch. Like it or not Canada plays follow the leader and where the US Fed funds rate is currently they'd never diverge that much....especially with the U.S. already tampering expectations of accelerated rate cuts. While I know most Canadian banks are expecting a 50 basis point cut coming up even that I think is too 'optimistic'....unless they plan on not cutting in December.

October 20, 2024
7:26 pm
smayer97
Member
Members
Forum Posts: 878
Member Since:
September 29, 2017
sp_UserOfflineSmall Offline

Then you do not follow the markets that closely. Canada does NOT follow the US, though it may appear so at some periods in time. No, each market follows the beat of their of drum; sometimes it is in sync, but sometimes not. You can clearly see that from 2010 to 2015, as an example.

Even lately, BoC changes have not been playing "follow-the-leader".

October 20, 2024
7:27 pm
smayer97
Member
Members
Forum Posts: 878
Member Since:
September 29, 2017
sp_UserOfflineSmall Offline

Winnie said

My prediction, that on Oct 23 BoC will reduce rate to 3.75% and another reduction to 3.25% will be on Dec 11.
BoC rate will drop 1% before end of the year.  

It sure is looking that way at the moment.

October 20, 2024
8:02 pm
bobwatford
Member
Members
Forum Posts: 19
Member Since:
September 14, 2022
sp_UserOfflineSmall Offline

smayer97 said
Then you do not follow the markets that closely. Canada does NOT follow the US, though it may appear so at some periods in time. No, each market follows the beat of their of drum; sometimes it is in sync, but sometimes not. You can clearly see that from 2010 to 2015, as an example.

Even lately, BoC changes have not been playing "follow-the-leader".  

Maybe 'follow-the-leader' was off base and looking into it you're right. While I don't think they'd diverge to that degree for very long it does appear possible for shorter periods. I'd welcome an aggressive cutting cycle as I'm all dividend stocks all the time and it would continue to drive them much higher, but I won't get my hopes up. I still think 1% cut over the next two meetings is dreaming but what do I know.

October 21, 2024
6:56 am
JohnnyCash
Member
Members
Forum Posts: 335
Member Since:
April 21, 2022
sp_UserOfflineSmall Offline

It will be interesting to see if a combined 1% cut has an effect on the CAD?

October 21, 2024
9:08 am
Rail Baron
Member
Members
Forum Posts: 316
Member Since:
November 3, 2022
sp_UserOfflineSmall Offline

JohnnyCash said
It will be interesting to see if a combined 1% cut has an effect on the CAD?  

If I was a snowbird, I would be buying my USD for the winter months now.

October 21, 2024
9:56 am
Dean
Valhalla Mountains, British Columbia
Member
Members
Forum Posts: 2078
Member Since:
January 12, 2019
sp_UserOfflineSmall Offline

Rail Baron said

If I was a snowbird, I would be buying my USD for the winter months now.  

As of 2day https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/quote/CADUSD%3DX/

    Dean

sf-cool " Live Long, Healthy ... And Prosper! " sf-cool

No permission to create posts

Please write your comments in the forum.