4:34 am
November 8, 2018
4:38 am
September 11, 2013
5:35 am
February 20, 2013
5:44 am
March 30, 2017
6:47 am
November 8, 2018
7:52 am
January 3, 2009
The Fed often goes above the BoC rate during periods of inflation. The higher rates in the USA tend to devalue the CAD and subsequently have a similar result as the BoC raising rates. So just because the Fed is still raising, doesn't mean the BoC will resume unless other factors occur or the CAD becomes too devalued. The Fed also tends to cut during election years, so with 2024 being an election year one likely possibility is that the Fed is raising to cut next year and the BoC will not raise rates.
In the end the best economist is right 50% of the time, so who knows. The best thing to do is to do your own research and follow what you believe so that you have less regrets if things don't work out.
8:33 am
November 3, 2022
phrank said
The Fed often goes above the BoC rate during periods of inflation. The higher rates in the USA tend to devalue the CAD and subsequently have a similar result as the BoC raising rates. So just because the Fed is still raising, doesn't mean the BoC will resume unless other factors occur or the CAD becomes too devalued. ...
....
How does devaluation of CAD produce the same effects as a BoC rate increase? If CAD is worth less, most of our imports, especially food, will cost more. And that would fuel inflation, having an opposite effect of a BoC interest rate increase. What am I missing?
8:42 am
January 12, 2019
8:46 am
January 12, 2019
5:27 pm
March 10, 2023
Rail Baron said
How does devaluation of CAD produce the same effects as a BoC rate increase? If CAD is worth less, most of our imports, especially food, will cost more. And that would fuel inflation, having an opposite effect of a BoC interest rate increase. What am I missing?
I'm with you on this...my understanding is that if CDN falls relative to USD then (as you say) our imports become more expensive, which means higher inflation. At the same time, it means USD goes further here, which means greater demand for exports as well, which puts even more upward pressure on wages in certain industries. The same guy making $35/hour sees what's going on and insists on $45/hour...and on and on it goes.
I don't think we have to mirror the Fed, especially since the labor market dynamics are quite different up here. But I think we have to stay within sight.
6:17 pm
January 12, 2019
9:58 pm
September 29, 2017
phrank said
The Fed often goes above the BoC rate during periods of inflation. The higher rates in the USA tend to devalue the CAD and subsequently have a similar result as the BoC raising rates. So just because the Fed is still raising, doesn't mean the BoC will resume unless other factors occur or the CAD becomes too devalued. The Fed also tends to cut during election years, so with 2024 being an election year one likely possibility is that the Fed is raising to cut next year and the BoC will not raise rates.In the end the best economist is right 50% of the time, so who knows. The best thing to do is to do your own research and follow what you believe so that you have less regrets if things don't work out.
As some of you may have seen me post before, the rate changes have NOTHING to do with inflation or anything else other than BOTH US and CAN gov't following the BOND market... PERIOD! They NEVER lead, they ONLY FOLLOW!
Don't believe me? simply pull up a chart of the 3 and 6 month bonds vs the Bank of US/CAN Interest rates.... ALWAYS FOLLOWS! SO, YOU can actually predict fairly accurately if and when rates will change and even by how much....
AND as I have pointed out before... the US rate changes do NOT affect CAN rate changes. They only appear so because the respective BOND markets often are similar BUT they can and are sometimes different, and that is why the respective rates are not always in sync.
ATM, the US bond market is rising... CAN not so much.
BTW, I learned about this some time ago but only recently tested this out and proved it for myself.... very eye-opening... Holds true 100% of the time going back DECADES!
I now keep those rates on a custom-made chart to show all of this on one chart... (I use tradingview.com--FREE to use).
4:38 am
January 9, 2011
savemoresaveoften said
They are proactive and betting next BoC move will be another hike, which seems more plausible after the payroll release and what Powell advertised this week.
An extra 15bps is a cheap way to advertise anyway and they can change it anytime they want too.
How true, and lo and behold, it only took ONE day! This morning I see 5.00% for a 1 year GIC on their web site.
So....do they have joint GIC accounts yet? If I remember correctly it must be getting close to 2 years now since they replied that it was coming soon.
And do they still make you earn only 2.5% in their savings account for 6 business days on money moved from my linked account (5 business days after they see that the funds have arrived) before they will remove the so called "hold" and allow any GIC purchase, even though said purchase is captive funds to EQ and is non-redeemable?
"Keep your stick on the ice. Remember, I'm pulling for you. We're all in this together." - Red Green
9:45 am
January 12, 2019
Alexandre said
1 year GIC 5.15% (up from 5.0%)
That goes against the common trend.
As of today (March 11th), EQ's 1Yr GIC is already back Down to 5.00% . . .
.
That didn't last long (one day).
- Dean
" Live Long, Healthy ... And Prosper! "
11:28 am
January 12, 2019
7:48 am
September 30, 2017
It is what is is, one day flip flop, quietly and unannounced ... collectively here at HISA, we notice flip flops happened at other FIs as well. I am interested to know if anyone actually got that rate in that single day.
... and how did you fund it? Was it there all along at EQ earning the 2.50%? Did it come from recently matured GIC at EQ? Or just a small GIC that you could EFT in?
8:07 am
March 30, 2017
hwyc said
It is what is is, one day flip flop, quietly and unannounced ... collectively here at HISA, we notice it happened at other FIs as well. I am interested to know if anyone actually got that rate in that single day.
Unless funds are already there, won’t make it cuz their strict hold policy.
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